The Liberals will win this election.
No Federal Government has been chucked out of office after one turn since The Great Depression
This is the land of the Fair Go. After you have had a fair go, you give the other mob a go. This is called Democracy.
The Libs will win this election because it will be decided by people who do not care about politics, people motivated by pure self interest, who will vote for whomever has the most to offer them personally. This is called ‘The U-Jack Society – “Fuck you Jack, I’m alright”.
The Libs will win this election because, despite Oz being THE richest country on earth ( and daylight comes second) most people are worried about the economy, and voters consistently rate the Libs as being more competent with money, as they are very adept at accumulating it.
We live in a Neoliberal paradigm – Winner takes all!
If you are a winner you vote Liberal as they will safeguard your money from the marauding hoards. You don’t have to worry about education or health because your kids go to private school and have private health insurance.
If you are a loser you vote Labor because they will pay for your kids education and keep you alive in your old age.
However, there are some winners who vote Green because of their compassionate policy towards losers.
Disclaimer: I have bet a large sum of money on The Libs based on this assumption. Of course I would be overjoyed to lose it all, but I would be even happier to back a winner. Losers suck!